In the previous post, I have looked at the
ambient air quality standards which regulate the types of pollutants monitored
and their limit values. So naturally, the next question is: how exactly is the
air quality in China?
Collecting data has not been easy. Although
China has now established a large monitoring system with 1521 sites in 369
cities reporting hourly via the internet, most archived data is not publicly
available. The China National Environmental Monitoring Centre (CNEMC) releases
a report on air quality in 74 major cities every month since January 2013 (with
the report from February 2013 and December 2014 missing). Only part of the
aggregated quarterly and semi-annual reports is published and annual reports
are not accessible. There are also third party observations, among which the
monitoring programme by the US embassy is the best known. However, it only
measures the PM2.5 concentration in 5 cities.
In this post, I will first examine the
CNEMC reports and then present data from two papers for current and historical
situations. The aim is to provide not an extensive review of different sources
of data, but rather an overall image of the scale of air pollution in China. I
will, however, continue collecting and update useful data in future posts.
In the monthly reports by CNEMC, a 74 city-average
is calculated for PM2.5, PM10, NO2 and SO2
from the monthly average concentration of individual cities (for CO and O3
a 74 city-average is not calculated):
Data source: China National Environmental Monitoring Centre.
As can be seen from the diagram, all four pollutants
demonstrate seasonal patterns. I will get back on this when I write about the
causes of air pollution in China. At this point, what we are most interested in
is probably an annual average and how far it is below or above the limit. As
data for February 2013 and December 2014 are missing, data from March 2013 to
February 2014 are taken to calculate the annual average:
annual
average
(μg/m3)
|
annual
average limit
(class 2) (μg/m3)
|
|
PM2.5
|
70
|
35
|
PM10
|
116
|
70
|
NO2
|
44
|
40
|
SO2
|
38
|
60
|
The annual average concentration of all
pollutants except SO2 exceeds the corresponding limit, among which
that of two sizes of particulate matter lie far beyond.
Due to lack of aggregated data, Rohde andMuller (2015) collect real-time (hourly) data during a four month period from
April to August 2014 and apply Kriging interpolation to derive pollution maps
for Eastern China (east of 95°E, which includes 97% of the population), as little monitoring is
done in Western China. The following figure presents the average concentration
of PM2.5, PM10 and O3 during the study period
for Eastern China (top) and the Beijing to Shanghai corridor (bottom), which
contains the highest concentrations and major sources of pollution. The colour
coding is not based on the Chinese, but the US EPA AQI categories:
Source: Rohde & Muller (2015).
For PM2.5 concentration, areas
containing approx. 38% of the population are classified as “unhealthy” (>55.5
μg/m3). Another 45% of the population is living in areas
classified as “unhealthy for sensitive groups” (>35.5 μg/m3).
PM10 concentration shows similar but less severe patterns, with most
of China averaging “moderate” (>150 μg/m3). Ozone
concentration level is “good” for most of China, except for some Northeastern
cities.
These two maps for SO2 and NO2
show “good” levels throughout the country:
Source: Rohde & Muller (2015).
As the first figure shows, the air
pollution in China is most severe during winter months and modest from late
summer to early fall. This study period from April to August lies somewhere in
between; hence the concentration values should be similar to or slightly lower
than the long-term average.
The next two diagrams illustrate annual
concentration of pollutants in 31 major cities from 1995 to 2009 based on
official yearbook data. The pollutants measured are particulate matter (total
suspended particulates (TSP) until 2000, PM10 thereafter), SO2
and nitrogen oxides (NOx until 1999, NO2 thereafter). As
can been seen from these graphs, the level of SO2 concentration
declined consistently from 1995 to 2009, with steep drop prior to 2000. By
contrast, PM10 level decreased only slightly since 2003 and NO2
concentration remained stable during this time period.
Source: Nielson & Ho (2013).
In short, air pollution is extensive in China
and affects the majority of the population. Pollution of particulate matter is
most severe with average concentrations exceeding both domestic and
international standards.
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